Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030881 0.033666 0.036414 0.039325 0.042315 0.045293 0.048478
2024-12-15 0.025766 0.030295 0.034876 0.039833 0.045022 0.050276 0.055978
2024-12-22 0.021234 0.026857 0.032675 0.039086 0.045900 0.052884 0.060547
2024-12-29 0.018170 0.024603 0.031397 0.038998 0.047174 0.055634 0.064987
2025-01-05 0.015467 0.022484 0.030050 0.038635 0.047971 0.057710 0.068548
2025-01-12 0.013041 0.020475 0.028664 0.038088 0.048438 0.059316 0.071493
2025-01-19 0.010378 0.017993 0.026603 0.036671 0.047852 0.059696 0.073033
2025-01-26 0.009418 0.017440 0.026662 0.037551 0.049719 0.062665 0.077292
2025-02-02 0.008109 0.016361 0.026048 0.037614 0.050636 0.064558 0.080344
2025-02-09 0.006446 0.014704 0.024675 0.036754 0.050473 0.065228 0.082030
2025-02-16 0.005527 0.013931 0.024304 0.037000 0.051508 0.067175 0.085065
2025-02-23 0.004537 0.012975 0.023662 0.036893 0.052115 0.068622 0.087528
2025-03-02 0.003425 0.011838 0.022886 0.036768 0.052870 0.070420 0.090594
2025-03-09 0.002594 0.011039 0.022531 0.037166 0.054263 0.072980 0.094558
2025-03-16 0.001502 0.009582 0.021258 0.036422 0.054317 0.074024 0.096837
2025-03-23 0.000829 0.008625 0.020567 0.036332 0.055086 0.075835 0.099927
2025-03-30 0.000283 0.007589 0.019696 0.035979 0.055514 0.077233 0.102531
2025-04-06 NaN 0.006532 0.018717 0.035445 0.055698 0.078328 0.104771
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005125 0.017111 0.034065 0.054846 0.078220 0.105646
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004927 0.017283 0.034922 0.056619 0.081069 0.109793
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004368 0.016853 0.034984 0.057431 0.082810 0.112687
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003448 0.015758 0.034146 0.057143 0.083277 0.114138
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003062 0.015501 0.034385 0.058131 0.085186 0.117187